I asked ChatGPT: “If every female Boebert became a parent at age 18, and had a total of four children by age 36, and half of those children were female, how many years would it take for the Boeberts to exceed the mass of the observable universe?”
By Daniel Alman (aka Dan from Squirrel Hill)
October 10, 2023
I asked ChatGPT:
“If every female Boebert became a parent at age 18, and had a total of four children by age 36, and half of those children were female, how many years would it take for the Boeberts to exceed the mass of the observable universe?”
This is how it answered:
In this scenario, every female Boebert becomes a parent at age 18, has a total of four children by age 36, and half of those children are female. This means each female Boebert has two female children. To calculate how many years it would take for the Boeberts to exceed the mass of the observable universe, we can use a similar method as in previous responses:
Start with one female Boebert.
At age 18, she has four children, half of whom (two) are female and will become parents as well.
These two female children follow the same pattern as their parent and each has four children, two of whom are female.
This process continues with each generation.
The number of female Boeberts in each generation follows a geometric progression with a common ratio of 2 (each female has 2 female children who will become parents). The total number of female Boeberts in the Nth generation is given by:
Total Female Boeberts = 1 * 2^(N-1)
We want to find the smallest N for which the total number of female Boeberts exceeds the mass of the observable universe, which we previously estimated at about 3 x 10^55 grams.
1 * 2^(N-1) > 3 x 10^55
Now, solve for N:
2^(N-1) > 3 x 10^55
N-1 > log base 2 of (3 x 10^55)
N > log base 2 of (3 x 10^55) + 1
Now, calculate N:
N > (log(3 x 10^55) / log(2)) + 1
N > (log(3) + log(10^55) / log(2)) + 1
N > (log(3) + 55 * log(10) / log(2)) + 1
N > (0.477 + 55 / 0.301 + 1)
N > (0.477 + 182.724 + 1)
N > 184.201
So, it would take approximately 185 generations of female Boeberts to exceed the mass of the observable universe. Now, we need to estimate the total time based on an average generation time.
If we assume an average generation time of around 25 years, then:
Total time = 185 generations * 25 years/generation ≈ 4,625 years
It would take roughly 4,625 years for the Boeberts to exceed the mass of the observable universe under these hypothetical conditions. Please keep in mind that this is a highly theoretical scenario and doesn’t account for real-world limitations or constraints.
My response to New York Magazine’s “The Uninhabitable Earth” is to remind you of these bogus doomsayer predictions from the first Earth Day in 1970
On July 9, 2017, New York Magazine published this article, which is called, “The Uninhabitable Earth.”
On July 14, 2017 – just five days later – New York Magazine said that the article
“… is already the most-read article in New York Magazine’s history.”
My response to this article is to remind you of the following bogus doomsayer predictions that were made during the first Earth Day in 1970:
* Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for the first Earth Day, wrote, “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”
* Senator Gaylord Nelson, the founder of Earth Day, stated, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
* Peter Gunter, a professor at North Texas State University, stated, “… by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions… By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
* Paul Ehrlich, author of The Population Bomb, predicted that between 1980 and 1989, 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would starve to death.
* Life Magazine wrote, “… by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half.”
* Ecologist Kenneth Watt stated, “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
* Watt also stated, “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil.”
Real scientists learn form their mistakes, and from the mistakes of others.
However, the environmental doomsayers who have been making these bogus predictions for many decades have expressed absolutely zero interest in learning why these predictions of the past failed to come true.
Instead, these doomsayers pretend that these failed predictions were never made, in the hopes that their current audience has either forgotten about them, or was never even aware of them in the first place.
Whatever happened to the scientific method?
Whatever happened to a willingness to admit to being wrong?
Whatever happened to the desire to learn from one’s mistakes, as well as from the mistakes of others?
For the scientifically illiterates out there who don’t know that carbon dioxide is the bottom of the food chain, here is an article form NASA called “Carbon Dioxide Fertilization Greening Earth, Study Finds.”
Also, back when the dinosaurs were alive, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were five times as high as they are today, and global temperatures were so high that there were no polar ice caps. But the earth was not “uninhabitable.” It was actually the exact opposite, which is why it was home to the biggest land animals that the planet has ever had.
I wrote this blog entry, which is called “The world’s supply of resources is getting bigger, not smaller.” It includes links to verify its claims.
I also made this video, which is called “Hitler gets mad at Al Gore’s global warming hypocrisy.” The video’s description contains links to verify its claims:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfr37Xn9IL8
Here are some predictions from the first Earth Day in 1970
The following predictions were made during the first Earth Day in 1970:
* Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for the first Earth Day, wrote, “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”
* Senator Gaylord Nelson, the founder of Earth Day, stated, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
* Peter Gunter, a professor at North Texas State University, stated, “… by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions… By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
* Paul Ehrlich, author of The Population Bomb, predicted that between 1980 and 1989, 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would starve to death.
* Life Magazine wrote, “… by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half.”
* Ecologist Kenneth Watt stated, “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
* Watt also stated, “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil.”
The world’s supply of resources is getting bigger, not smaller
According to the laws of physics, the total quantity of mass and energy is fixed. Therefore, we cannot “create” new mass or energy, and we cannot “use up” the mass and energy that we already have.
But there is something else that we can do – we can invent, build, and use technology to increase our standard of living. For example, petroleum was worthless until someone with a brain invented a way to use it, at which point the petroleum became a valuable resource. Likewise, today we take rocks that used to be worthless, and turn them into computer chips that are worth trillions of dollars.
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