The Pacific island nation of Tuvalu is getting bigger, but I don’t expect most environmentalists to celebrate

On the one hand, this report from is good news for anyone who has been truly worried that the land area of the Pacific island nation of Tuvalu was getting smaller due to the rising sea level caused by global warming. Although the sea level is indeed rising due to global warming, wave patterns and sediment dumped by storms have actually caused the land area to get bigger. The study was conducted by the University of Auckland.

On the other hand, for environmentalists who have been using this island’s alleged shrinking as an excuse to promote a political agenda, this is bad news, not good news. They will not celebrate this news. Instead, they will ignore this news, and they will get mad at anyone who does bring this news to their attention.

Based on past experience, I think that most environmentalists will fall into the later group. I say this, based on the following three things:

1) Most environmentalists ignore the fact that so many of their past predictions of doom have failed to come true.

2) Most environmentalists show zero intellectual curiosity as to why their past predictions of doom failed to come true. (By comparison, real scientists are always curious to know why their past predictions failed to come true.)

3) Most environmentalists actually get mad at me whenever I bring up the fact that their past predictions of doom have failed to come true.

Anyway, here are some predictions of doom from the first Earth Day in 1970 that failed to come true. Most environmentalists absolutely hate it when I point out these predictions. Try showing this list to any environmentalists that you know, and see how they react:

* Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for the first Earth Day, wrote, “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”

* Senator Gaylord Nelson, the founder of Earth Day, stated, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”

* Peter Gunter, a professor at North Texas State University, stated, “… by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions… By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”

* Paul Ehrlich, author of The Population Bomb, predicted that between 1980 and 1989, 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would starve to death.

* Life Magazine wrote, “… by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half.”

* Ecologist Kenneth Watt stated, “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”

* Watt also stated, “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil.”


February 9, 2018. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , . Environmentalism.


  1. Wang Wei Lin replied:

    “No such thing as a happy greenie.” h/t John Ray, PhD Australia

    • Brian Parfitt replied:

      “Although the sea level is indeed rising due to global warming, wave patterns and sediment dumped by storms have actually caused the land area to get bigger”
      If one reads the Nature article that this news has been extracted from, you will find that the researchers determined that of winds. storms and tides, are dredging up sand and gravel from underwater and dumping it on the beach. They also state, unequivocally that, yes indeed, the sea level is rising. So they suggested that the habituated islands of Tuvalu may remain viable for maybe a hundred years, revising previous estimates upward about 80 years.
      I am inclined to accept the global warning theories, but I am not angry at people who disagree with me. I just try to provide evidence to counter the evidence who disagree with me.
      All the best.

  2. Brian Parfitt replied:

    On the other hand…

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